I mentioned in my last blog post that there was a good shot at seeing some showers and thunderstorms during the period of March 12-18. Well, right on cue, we get to talk about severe weather for the first time this year. A strong low pressure system is coming in from the Pacific. It will dive down south of Arizona and New Mexico. That will help to pull in the moisture we need for storms. A cold front is also going to be moving in from the northwest. That will act as a lifting mechanism to help generate these storms. We're not going to have the high heat needed to get some really bad storms, however, large hail and wind gusts over 60 mph certainly can not be ruled out. In fact, the Storm Prediction Center already has our area in a 15% risk for severe storms on Tuesday afternoon. The main line of though right now is for a squall line to quickly move across the region from west-to-east. Squall lines are known for strong wind and large hail. The timing is looking like it'll be from 1:00-6:00 pm. That would mean it would move through Lubbock between 2:00-3:00 pm. This is a fluid situation, so we will keep an eye on it and will certainly know more by Monday.
The attention will then turn to Spring Break weather. If you are headed down to the coast tomorrow watch for some thunderstorms from Houston to Galveston. It's looking like the potential is 30% for Saturday afternoon. Farther down the coast, things will be warm and breezy from Corpus Christi/Port Aransas down to South Padre Island. So it's not looking like there will be any weather problems as Spring Break begins tomorrow. The only weather trouble spots today will be in the DFW Metroplex and portions of east Texas where severe weather is possible. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast all week long for Corpus Christi/Port Aransas down to South Padre Island. So the weather may be the best for Spring Breakers. Highs are looking to be in the mid 60s to low 70s during the week as well.